Alec Baldwin Forensic Report Contradicts Trigger Claim as Rust Faces Box Office Flop

A new forensic analysis directly challenges Alec Baldwin’s initial statements about the tragic shooting of Halyna Hutchins on the set of Rust, reigniting debate just as the film suffers a significant box office failure. The phrase

“Alec Baldwin forensic report contradicts trigger claim”

encapsulates growing questions about Baldwin’s account and prompts renewed focus on the production’s troubled history.

Discrepancy Between Baldwin’s Statement and Forensic Findings

Following the 2021 fatal shooting of cinematographer Halyna Hutchins during filming in New Mexico, Alec Baldwin told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos in an emotional 2021 interview that he did not pull the trigger of the prop revolver. According to Baldwin, he had no intention of firing the weapon, expressing overwhelming remorse for the loss incurred on the set. The incident led to involuntary manslaughter charges and intense public scrutiny of Baldwin, the production team, and safety protocols at the site.

Despite Baldwin’s vocal denials, the forensic investigation presented a contradictory account. Expert Lucien C. Haag, commissioned to examine the firearm used in the incident, determined that releasing the revolver’s hammer demanded considerable force:

Although Alec Baldwin repeatedly denies pulling the trigger, given the tests, findings and observations reported here, the trigger had to be pulled or depressed sufficiently to release the fully cocked or retracted hammer of the evidence revolver.

The conclusion highlighted by Haag made it clear that the operation of the weapon would not have been possible without someone engaging the trigger, directly undermining Baldwin’s claims during his televised statements. The New York Times reported extensively on these forensic conclusions, reinforcing doubts about Baldwin’s version of events and shaping the narrative ahead of the film’s release.

Alec Baldwin
Image of: Alec Baldwin

The legal case faced dramatic turns in court. In 2024, New Mexico Judge Mary Marlowe Sommer dismissed the involuntary manslaughter charges against Baldwin. The decision emerged after findings that the prosecution withheld critical evidence from Baldwin’s defense team, ending that chapter of legal jeopardy for the actor but leaving questions about the events unresolved for many.

Rust’s Difficult Production Experience and Lukewarm Release

The tragic shooting halted Rust’s original production and sparked widespread criticism across the industry, as debates about gun safety and on-set protocols intensified. Baldwin, already known for his passion for the western genre, was thrust further into the public spotlight as he attempted to steer the film’s troubled journey forward.

After the accident, filming resumed under heavy scrutiny and with enhanced safety measures. Halyna Hutchins’ widower, Matthew Hutchins, was appointed executive producer as part of a broader effort to address the tragedy’s impact and honor Hutchins’ memory. Despite these gestures and more rigorous oversight, the project struggled to escape negative attention during its completion and lead-up to its eventual release in 2024.

Some supporters felt the completion of the film served as a tribute to Halyna Hutchins’ skills and legacy; however, many remained skeptical, and commentary around the issue persisted. When Rust hit theaters, its box office performance failed to meet industry expectations. Reports referenced by The Wrap showed the film opened to just $25,000 during its debut weekend, a fraction of its $8 million budget. Analysts pointed to the surrounding controversy and simultaneous video-on-demand release as factors that further diminished its theatrical prospects.

Legacy of the Incident and Ongoing Discussion

The release and reception of Rust solidified its place as an infamous chapter in recent Hollywood history, leaving a mark on Alec Baldwin’s career and influencing discussions about safety on set. The divergence between Baldwin’s public statements and the forensic evidence has kept debates alive among observers, legal experts, and film professionals, while also ensuring the tragedy remains at the forefront of industry reflection.

As the film is now available for rental on Apple TV in the USA, the circumstances surrounding both its production and its underwhelming box office run are likely to continue fueling scrutiny of workplace safety, legal responsibility, and the public’s willingness to engage with challenging cinematic works tied to real-life tragedy.