As the 2026 Oscar season draws to a close, a confidential Academy Awards voter has revealed their ballot choices, shedding light on key selections including the Michael B Jordan Oscar vote for Best Actor. This insight, shared exclusively with Gold Derby, offers a rare glimpse into the final preferences shaping this year’s ceremony.
Favorite for Best Picture: A Strong Case for Train Dreams
Among the contenders, the voter expressed a clear preference for Train Dreams, describing it as a profound reflection on life, characterized by stunning cinematography and compelling performances. Although acknowledging that One Battle After Another is likely to win due to its strong acting and direction, the voter found Train Dreams more captivating and thought-provoking, highlighting its ability to engage audiences deeply with themes about existence and the world.
Joachim Trier’s Direction Earns Top Marks
Joachim Trier secured this voter’s Best Director choice for his work on Sentimental Value. The voter praised Trier’s masterful layering of narrative elements, as well as his skill in drawing nuanced performances from his cast. While recognizing Ryan Coogler’s impressive direction of Sinners, the voter believes Coogler will be rewarded with the Original Screenplay award. Despite Paul Thomas Anderson being a favorite, this ballot predicts an upset in favor of Trier’s sensitive handling of the film’s intricate emotions.

Rose Byrne’s Powerful Portrayal Stands Out in Best Actress
The Best Actress category sees Rose Byrne as the voter’s strongest choice, particularly for her raw and mesmerizing role in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You. The voter emphasized Byrne’s exceptional talent, suggesting that her performance surpasses even the film itself. Renate Reinsve of Sentimental Value holds a close second place, appreciated for another compelling portrayal within the same category.
Michael B. Jordan Earns Top Actor Vote for Sinners
Michael B. Jordan leads the Best Actor selections with a vote for his dual role as twin brothers in Sinners. The voter expressed that Jordan, who was notably overlooked for his work in Black Panther, deserves greater recognition, and highlighted the complexity of portraying two distinct characters simultaneously. Ethan Hawke is also acknowledged as a worthy contender, nearing a fifth nomination, but the first choice remains firmly with Jordan, adding emphasis on the importance of diversity among Oscar winners.
Supporting Actress Choice: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas Illuminates Sentimental Value
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas received the top vote for Best Supporting Actress. The voter noted the challenge her name may present for journalists, yet praised her portrayal of Agnes as the vibrant counterbalance to Renate Reinsve’s more subdued character. Lilleaas’s performance is credited with bringing significant energy and presence to the film. Teyana Taylor’s formidable role in One Battle After Another earned her a solid second placement.
Jacob Elordi’s Compelling Performance in Frankenstein Captivates
For Best Supporting Actor, Jacob Elordi emerged as the clear favorite. The voter described his role as riveting and highlighted his ability to infuse humanity into the classic monster character. Despite the voter’s general disinterest in Frankenstein, Elordi’s powerful interpretation was captivating enough to command full attention. Delroy Lindo’s performance in Sinners was also recognized and ranked as the alternative choice.
Best Adapted Screenplay Given to Writers of Train Dreams
The adaptation of Denis Johnson’s novella into the screenplay for Train Dreams is singled out for excellence. The voter commended Clint Bentley and Greg Kewdar for transforming cerebral source material into a cinematic achievement that deeply engaged viewers. This adaptation is viewed as a remarkable accomplishment, with Guillermo del Toro’s screenplay for Frankenstein considered a strong secondary option.
Original Screenplay Honors Expected to Go to Sinners
Ryan Coogler’s script for Sinners won this voter’s praise for its skillful narrative construction in the horror genre, where often atmosphere and visuals overshadow character development. The screenplay was noted for bringing the story vividly to life with memorable writing and thoughtful production elements. The sensitive and layered script for Sentimental Value ranks as the voter’s second choice in this category.
This insight into the voting highlights key contenders and narratives that could influence the final outcomes of the Oscars. Michael B. Jordan’s Best Actor vote underscores ongoing conversations about representation and recognition in awards, while the voter’s choices reflect a nuanced appreciation for films that combine emotional depth with technical mastery. As the Academy prepares to announce winners, such ballots offer a revealing look into the considerations that shape the prestigious honors.
